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Premier League MD12: Lucky winners and unlucky losers

Pep Guardiola may have signed a new contract with Manchester City, but there has been no turnaround in fortunes for the Premier League champions.

City were humiliated 4-0 by Tottenham at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday, losing a fifth straight match in all competitions.

Liverpool took advantage of that result to come from behind to beat lowly Southampton 3-2 on Sunday to move eight points clear at the top.

Ruben Amorim made his bow as Manchester United boss in a 1-1 draw against Ipswich Town at Portman Road, with Chelsea and Arsenal hot on Man City's heels.

We also saw a managerial departure, with Leicester City parting ways with Steve Cooper after four league games without a win.

But who were the unlucky losers and lucky winners of last weekend's Premier League matches?

Unlucky losers: Fulham

Man City weren't the only team to score four goals on Saturday, with Fulham also having that unwanted badge of honor after their 4-1 home loss to Wolves.

But while Wolves were excellent on the counter and clinical when their chances arose, it's fair to say Fulham were unlucky when conceding four times as they conceded just 1.3 expected goals (xGA).

Indeed, Fulham and Wolves both had 10 shots, while both teams also had 23 touches in the opponent's penalty area.

It was a bad day at the office for Marco Silva, but he can at least take comfort in the fact that the numbers suggest it was somewhat unfortunate.

Unlucky losers: Bournemouth

Bournemouth were beaten 2-1 by Brighton on Saturday as the Seagulls kept their south coast rivals at bay despite Carlos Baleba's red card.

David Brooks pulled one back late on for Bournemouth as Andoni Iraola's team failed to meet their 1.6 xG.

By contrast, Brighton scored just 0.9 xG, the third-lowest total across all 18 games played on Saturday and Sunday.

Bournemouth had 19 shots but only managed five on target. Brighton, on the other hand, sent four of their six attempts on target.

Lucky winners: Tottenham

Time for some controversy…

Spurs were brilliant against City, with James Maddison celebrating his 28th birthday with a first-half double before Pedro Porro and Brennan Johnson came into action after the break.

Yet the stats suggest Tottenham were fortunate to keep a clean sheet, with City – who had 23 tries – collecting 2.1 xG.

That's not to say Spurs weren't impressive when going the other way. They finished with 2.5 xG from just nine shots, showing they were creating high caliber chances.

But should it really have been 4-0? The numbers suggest not, but statistics should always be used in context and not be the only thing we rely on.

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