Can Arsenal exploit the horror Man Utd stat that haunts Ruben Amorim’s flops? Weekend Wager’s best bets

Sunssport's Weekend Wager uses in -depth statistics and shaving sharp analysis to introduce you the best value from the upcoming bumper weekend of Sport.

Participating in our own Will Pugh in this week's show is Voetbal Omroep Kweku Afari and Betfair gokexpert Sam Rosbottom.

This week the panel gave their opinion on how gamblers could get the best Premier League for the weekend, Manchester United vs Arsenal and the bottom of the table scrap between Wolves and Everton.

While they also weighed on the Six Nations promotion and the Betfair Imperial Cup in Sandown.

View all our best bets for the weekend below, in collaboration with Betfair.

Manchester United vs Arsenal

Kewku Afari: Arsenal Win & more than 2.5 goals – 21/10

“If you look at the Arsenal team, they are strange when it comes to results.

“Sometimes they can't touch a barn door with banjo and sometimes, because we saw a midweek against PSV, they can place several goals against the opposition.

“I look here Manchester United, and in six of their last seven games in Old Trafford, the opposition scored at least two goals.

“And so I look at them defensively. I look at them in terms of Andre Onana as he does not fill the fans of trust.

“They are a team that does leak goals, especially at home.”

Will Pugh: Mikel Merino to score first – 13/2

“Merino has three goals in his last four performances and noted one of the seven on PSV, isn't it? And got two from the bank in that kind of pointed debut [vs Leicester].

“But just like the Merino statistics, since the weekend of Ruben Amorim's first match, only Leicester (13) admitted the opening goal in more Premier League matches than Manchester United, who went 1-0 12 times.

“While Arsenal scored in each of their last 10 Premier League matches against Manchester United.

“They have 13 goals in those 10 games, because they only managed 10 to score 10 in their first 22 visits to Old Trafford.”

Sam Rosbottom: Arsenal HT/Draw FT – 12/1

“I don't think Arsenal will win this game. You have to go back to December 1 to find the last time that Manchester United won a first half, that was against Everton in Old Trafford.

“But they won the second half in 8 of their last 11 games.

“The statistics show that Manchester United will be a second half team”.

Wolves vs Everton

Kewku Afari: Beto to always score – 21/10

“He scored five goals in his last five Premier League matches. That is more than his previous 44 games, which is … Incredible.

“And in the absence of Dominic Calvert-Lewin, he has been very, very important. So they trust Beto.

“He also had two or more shots on goal in his last five Premier League matches. So I expect that he will come forward this weekend for Everton.”

Will Pugh: Jorgen Strand Larsen up to 2+ shots on goal – 11/4

“Jorgen Strand Larsen is the target in the box 85 times in the box this season, which is the most player in the Premier League.

“While only Dominic Solanke has made more forward runs in the opposition Penaltybox at 237 than Strand -lars has – he is really a central point for wolves.

“I think Strand-Larsen has done a good job and he is a real asset for them”.

Sam Rosbottom: Jack Harrison 1+ Shot on Doel – 6/4

“Jack Harrison has been very unfortunate. He has an unwanted record.

“He has the highest expected goals in total of every player who still has to score in the Premier League this season at 2.9XG – which means he should have scored three times.

“However, I don't go with him to score, but I think there is value in him to have a shot on goal.

“He had seven shots in his last six games and we just need one to be on goal this weekend.”

England vs Italy – Six Nations

Sam Rosbottom: Italy +16 – 2/1

“England is absolutely huge favorites against Italy, but we laugh at how tight England games have been.

“And Italy is not so far this tournament is not the lashes they are usually. Wales are the lashes, not Italy.

“So I look here at the handicap market and I think there is a chance to get Italy to Side on Plus 16, which is 2-1.

“So in essence, England can win the game, but if they win with a margin smaller than 16 points, we win the bet.”

“I don't think it will be tight, of course because England has to do the company, but I don't think it will be such a big gap as everyone who expects here.”

Betfair Imperial Cup in Sandown

Sam Rosbottom: Go Dante – 11/2, Bo Zenith – 11/2, Fixed Baum – 8/1 and Knickerbockerglory E/W – 14/1

“It is clear that a lot of movement is already on the market after the news that last year's winner, Go Dante, was 25/1.

“There has been a big gamble on him, now supported in joint favor on 11/2, now a joint favorite together with Bo Zenith.

“Forly Sum, who was the favorite, moving the other way, was 5/1, now 8/1.

“There is a horse here that I best for every way for five places at 14/1 – Knickerbockerglory.

“I think that's a sweetheart, every way to scream”.

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