Our bet expert Jones Knows gives his insight while he analyzes the four FA Cup quarterfinals and would like to support the all-prime minister League tires to go all the way to punishment.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 12.15 pm
Supporting the trek in quarterfinals of cup competitions is always a gambling strategy that is worth implementing when the time is ripe. As an example, 44 percent of all quarter-finals of the European Championship abnormality have ended as draws of a 32-game sample size with three of the four 2024 last-eight-showdowns that end in stalemate. When the danger increases, the prospect that Games are being Cagey with both teams in a must-not-loss focus instead of taking risks to win the game, the tendency to take off.
All this proof suggests that some potential Cagey quarter-final competitions could play this weekend with the three all-prime minister League tires between Fulham and Crystal Palace, Brighton vs Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth vs Manchester City that offers great value for the competitions to end up as a trek.
We have two very well-organized and in-form teams that match here. Both also know how to defend. Since the change of the year, only Arsenal and Liverpool have a better expected goals against than Fulham and Crystal Palace. The side of Oliver Glasner did not even admit a goal from home in 549 minutes. It wrote a draw on 23/10 with Sky Bet.
Score prediction: 1-1 (Crystal Palace to win on penalties) | Jones Knows' Best bet: Both teams to win on penalties (5/1 with Sky Bet)
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 5.15 pm
It shows you how much the gambling markets this Nottingham Forest team really do not judge when they are priced with Sky Bet on 7/4 to qualify for the semi-final. This is a team that defeated the opposition in question 7-0 the last time they met. Of course you should never trust a lot of form in itself, but it is difficult to ignore that argument, no matter how simplistic it sounds.
Forest is underestimated, that is clear.
For some reason, this fixture tends to produce fireworks when it comes to cards. In the last four meetings, 28 yellow cards have been shown and two red cards flashed. There is a lot at stake, so I anticipate a high number of cards and the Evens offered for 50+ booking points is a Kraakkans, just like the draw.
Score prediction: 1-1 (Nottingham Forest to win on penalties) | Jones Knows' Best bet: Both teams to win on penalties (6/1 with Sky Bet)
Preston vs Aston Villa, Sunday 1.30 pm
Deepdale will be packed on the trusses, hoping to witness a cup shock. But in reality it is difficult to meet someone who occurs.
In 28 FA Cup fifth round or quarter -final competitions with Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea in the last seven seasons – so elite teams – those teams have won 26 of those competitions in normal times. The only two occasions that a so -called shock happened was when Leicester defeated Chelsea and Manchester United, although that was the high -flying version of the Foxes who completely gained the cup.
This is a good indicator to show that the elite teams are very reliable from a gambling perspective in this phase of the competition where Wembley and the chance to win the trophy are in sight.
Preston could also miss a maximum of five players from the first team. Kaine Kesler-Hayden (non-intelligent for parent club), Ryan Porteous (Cup bound), Sam Greenwood and Ryan Ledson (both suspended) are out and it is unclear what the situation is with Milutin Osmajic after being charged by the FA for alleged racist comments against Burnley.
Villa to win and less than 3.5 goals on 11/10 with sky bet seems to be the smart game.
Score prediction: 0-1
Bournemouth vs Manchester City, Sunday 4 p.m.
I have a bit of a rule when analyzing games from a result perspective and try to formulate a prediction: once I have performed all my important data and have added my own views to the mix and that process takes longer than 30 minutes to get a convincing picture or the prices are good, this means that the trek must be a runner.
It's here.
I wanted to try to support Bournemouth downright, but they are shorter than what I would expect to qualify at Evens, since they are without Dean Huijsen and Milos Kerkez – two of their pillars at the back that are missing due to suspension.
Moreover, the cherries have lately irritated me by their inability to do the base, whereby game management is neglected in the defeat against Tottenham before they show a worrying inability to defend set pieces against Brentford. I can't trust them. I can't trust Manchester City. So, the draw it is on 11/4 with sky bet.
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