Our football betting expert and top tipter Jones knows that Chelsea will gain the warmth on West Ham -boss Graham Potter on Friday evening football.
West Ham vs Chelsea, Friday 8 p.m., Live on Sky Sports
If you remove the relegated teams from the comparison, West Ham so is in the Premier League per 90 for expected goals, shots, shots on goal, opportunities created from open play and played in the box since Graham Potter took the lead.
There is a clear problem with converting their possession and territorial benefit into quality circulation and scoring goals – not the first time we said that about a Potter team.
It can be possession for the sake of possession. The structure is there, but not the soul. It's just not very west ham. The locals want a team that plays with grit and conviction. It may just be that Potter is a bit too spreadsheety for the hammers. And things can get worse in the short term.
Chelsea played well against Palace last weekend and had the most possession (72 percent) and made the most passes (568) of all Premier League teams, but failed to score an expected goals of 1.7.
They will not leave these points there. Chelsea to win and less than 3.5 goals at 6/4 with Sky Bet stands out.
Score prediction: 0-2
Manchester City vs Tottenham, Saturday 12.30 pm
Here is a sentence that would have made absolutely zero meaning last year: Tottenham becomes a serious set of threat.
Under Ange Postecoglou it was all vibes and vertical football, but under Thomas Frank there is good reason to believe that Spurs could evolve into a set of machine. Brentford is in second place for expected goals from such situations in the Premier League last season and the early signs are positive for Spurs's ability to damage the same spirit.
Hello, Micky van de Ven.
He is not only a Rolls Royce in Open Play and with the ball – his strength, pace and timing make him an air matches that wait to be unlocked from attacking corners and free kicks. In two starts under Frank, he has already collected three shots and collected a goal against PSG.
He is 6/4 with Sky Bet to register at least one shot and while the markets are sleeping on the true probability, he is a big gamble to attack.
Score forecast: 2-1 | Jones Knows' Best Bet: Micky van de Ven +1 Shots (6/4 with Sky Bet)
Brentford vs Aston Villa, Saturday 3 pm – Play Super 6 here!
If you wanted any evidence about how much Brentford may have fallen in the summer, analyzing their profit prize in the last meeting between these two clubs in March says a lot. The bees, with Frank, Bryan Mbeumo, Christian Norgaard and Yoane Wissa in tow, were 11/10 shots to beat Aston Villa at home.
They were priced here only five months later as 21/10, which indicates almost five percent implicit probability shift.
That is huge in assessing outright prices.
They were completely hopeless in the first half of their 3-1 defeat in Nottingham Forest. First day nerves to blame? Or more a deeper underlying issue that this is a larger reconstruction task than the club that had imagined for the first time? I'm in the last camp.
Score prediction: 1-2
Bournemouth vs Wolves, Saturday 3 p.m. – Play Super 6 here!
Sometimes you just have to go back to basics in the football bet.
Squad downgrade? Account. Squad -Onbalans? Account. Dangerous opponents who have one of the best managers in Europe? Account.
All signs indicate a Bournemouth victory on Wolves this weekend at 4/5 with Sky Bet – and this can be a gloomy season for the men of VÃtor Pereira.
At home, with the crowd behind them and wolves trying to implement Pereira's ownership patterns under pressure, sets up this game nicely in front of Andoni Iraola and the fast and hectic Bournemouth style. The cherries can simply press wolves into errors and parties on transitions. They may have lost a lot of quality in their dressing room, but the most important man remains: Iraola – as evidenced by their performance on Anfield.
That is why they can be familiar to go again despite the revision of the team.
Score prediction: 2-0
Burnley vs Sunderland, Saturday 3 p.m. – Play Super 6 here!
The Premier League has become a competition where pace, power, directness and the ability to have real physicality of the ball is so important. This style switch has been a trend that the Premier League took over in recent seasons. In the 2018/19 season, 389 Fast Breaks (Opta-Term for counterattack) were included. That figure rose to 775 last season. It has almost doubled.
I think Sunderland has noticed this trend and spent the entire summer with the planning to become a member of the fast party because their recruitment is aimed at bringing in large strong guys who have a lot of physical presence or have a great pace and strength. They were so good during the break in the 3-0 win over West Ham. It was all about energy and progressive running.
Habib Diarra was the real star – this boy is powerful and full of immediately running. Regis Le Bris gave him a lot of license to support the frontman and he shot on two shots, one of which was defined a big chance. He is 6/5 with Sky Bet to hit two or more shots in a 5 -point game will focus on three points.
Score prediction: 1-2 | Jones Knows' Best Bet: Habib Diarra 2+ shots (6/5 with Sky Bet)
Arsenal vs Leeds, Saturday 5.30 pm, live on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 here!
Beware: Declan Rice is a player where I will do a lot this season.
Since the move to Arsenal, Rice has evolved into more than just a midfield shield. Under Mikel Arteta, he has given license to step into advanced bags, recycles possession and let the space open. This positional change makes him a fantastic gambling perspective on the attacking proportion markets.
Rice has covered his two or more shot line in his last six starts and boats a general shot figure of 2.15 when playing in the no. 8 roll in 2025.
That figure must be able to be hit against a newly promoted team, where Arsenal Territorium will dominate and Rice will find himself over time to test the 'keeper or the goal too pepper. Combining Arsenal for winning and rice to have two or more shots at Evens with Sky Bet looks a nice corner to attack.
Score prediction: 2-0
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest, Sunday 2 pm, live on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 here!
My first port of approach when an important player leaves or gets a serious injury is the with and without data to try to quantify how much a team will miss the output of that player. Well, since the beginning of the 23/24 season, Ebereechi Eze – has been on his way to Arsenal – less than 21 games started in the Premier League and at that time the profit percentage of 40 percent to 19 percent and their points per game will fall from 1.5 to only 1.0 per game.
Oliver Glasner has a difficult task of keeping trust and mentality levels high in his team after losing such an important and beloved player.
Forest is a reliable team as you know exactly what you are going to get that they are very good in both boxes, and are flawlessly led by Nikola Milenkovic and Murillo in defense – one of the best defensive combinations in Europe.
This looks a good time to go to Selhurst Park and the road wins at 21/10 with Sky Bet appeals.
Score prediction: 0-1
Everton vs Brighton, Sunday 2 pm, live on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 here!
A lazy story that occurred during the chat for the season is how Everton could struggle without the fort of Goodison Park and could suffer from new stadium nerves. However, the last five teams in the top two levels of English football that have moved stadiums have a healthy record in their first five games.
Of those 25 games, they won 16 and only lost four.
The Hill Dickinson Stadium is strategically built to keep the atmosphere and hostile and when Everton fans pops up, they remain one of the most passionate set of fans in the country. Brighton is a team that in my opinion is overestimated by the markets and the 19/10 with Sky Bet on Everton, starting with a victory in their new home, sees a solid one.
Score prediction: 1-0
Fulham vs Manchester United, Sunday 4.30 pm, live on Sky Sports – Play Super 6 here!
The market likes what it saw from Manchester United against Arsenal based on their profit price here. They are 21/20 with Sky Bet, although it doesn't feel like particularly smart money drives the united prize in what it is. They still looked very timid in the central midfield without the ball and there are doubts about whether the wingbacks and important gear in each 3-5-2 system-filling output offer to make United in a functional and exciting team.
I like to support Fulham when they are overlooked. The men of Marco Silva are usually ignored by the market, but last season they took 30 of their 54 points against top anduging teams. That is a huge return and one that made them very profitable to withdraw as outsiders when the price was good. You can get 6/4 with Sky Bet here on Fulham on the draw, not a bet market, which means that deployment will be paid back if the game ends at the level.
Score prediction: 2-1
Newcastle vs Liverpool, Monday 8 p.m., live on Sky Sports
Eddie Howe is doing great to use Alexander Isak's situation to bring the club together as well as possible.
When St James' Park smells lack of respect, it bites back. You can expect the atmosphere to be a parcel on Monday. Every Liverpool boosted. Newcastle players pumped to play aggressively from the first whistle while they want to use to use that broochest of noise in their favor.
And that is when the tone is the most dangerous.
Despite the victory against Bournemouth, Liverpool seemed more vulnerable during the break than last season, because they had more fast breaks (5) in that game than in a Premier League match in Anfield last season.
And Newcastle are built to fall against a front three from Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon and Harvey Barnes perfectly equipped to touch Liverpool in transition. The hosts look a great gamble in the Double Channel Markt on 4/5 with Sky Bet.