Our football betting expert Jones Knows believes Nottingham Forest are underrated as Liverpool face a tough test on Tuesday evening.
Brentford v Manchester City, Tuesday 7.30pm
When you analyze whether Manchester City are indeed 'back' you see how important it is to consider performance data and the underlying numbers behind results when looking for value in the betting markets.
Don't be fooled by three wins and fourteen goals scored. This City team remains woefully out of possession – perhaps the worst team in the Premier League in that regard – and have been fortunate to concede just one goal in their last three games. Sky Bet League Two's Salford managed ten shots and almost one expected goal on Saturday.
Brentford have the dangerous and direct attackers to make City pay for their abysmal pressing structure and Yoane Wissa, who scored Brentford's opening goal in the reverse fixture, can add to his tally of seven goals on home turf this season. The 2/1 if he scores anytime with Sky Bet is a big prize.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Yoane Wissa scores (2/1 with Sky Bet)
Chelsea v Bournemouth, Tuesday 7.30pm
Physicality through the middle has turned Chelsea upside down in recent weeks. Liam Delap grabbed a brace for Ipswich before Jean-Philippe Mateta leveled Crystal Palace in their most recent Premier League outing, extending Chelsea's winless run to four games in the league.
Bournemouth have grown under Andoni Iraola this season and have broken the mental block of not being able to beat the big boys in Man City, Arsenal, Man Utd and Tottenham this season. I am happy to invest in getting a result with Dango Ouattara, who seems ready to lead after his double at the weekend and the injuries of Evanilson and Enes Unal, who can add a goal or an assist note. If you place that via the BuildABet feature you can get a 15/4 shot with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
West Ham vs Fulham, Tuesday 7.30pm
Graham Potter has a history of getting reactions from players whenever he took over a job, winning his first game in charge of Ostersunds, Swansea and Brighton and going ten unbeaten in the first ten games of his Chelsea reign.
Yes, it officially started with an FA Cup defeat at Aston Villa, but for much of that encounter the Hammers looked in complete control of the match after their early goal from Lucas Paqueta. I'm willing to invest in getting Potter off to a fast start. And Paqueta is exactly the kind of player that Potter can work his magic with. His shot-on-target price of 7/4 at Sky Bet stands out.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Nottingham Forest v Liverpool, Tuesday 8pm
Liverpool at 13/8 with Sky Bet feels a bit disrespectful to Nottingham Forest, who will make this a very tough evening for Arne Slot's men. Would a point be a bad result for the away team? I think Slot would accept that now.
In what is likely to be an intense game under the lights at the City Ground, Trent Alexander-Arnold could come out with a point to prove after his sloppy and petulant performance in the 2-2 draw against Manchester United. His tackling figures interest me based on his averages this season under Slot, which are currently around 2.8 per game.
He has made three or more tackles in eight of his last 15 Premier League starts, including four in the reverse fixture at Anfield. He has odds-on odds of 5/4 with Sky Bet to make three or more tackles.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
The best bets from Jones Knows…
Transfer Center LIVE! Deals, rumors, news on your phone 📱
The January transfer window is OPEN!
Follow the latest deals, news and rumors in the 'Transfers' section of the Sky Sports app!
Looking for news about YOUR club? Find dedicated transfer pages for ANY Premier League team.
Comments