With the first competition day of UEFA Women's Champions League Knock -Out Promotion that produces unexpected results and beautiful drama, this week's offer promises even more excitement.
Four last eight tires will be completed on Wednesday and Thursday, with four parties that come up with a place in the semi -final of next month.
The finalists of last season title defender Barcelona and second place Lyon go to their second rows with important benefits, as many may have predicted.
But although most supporters would have expected that Chelsea and Arsenal would anticipate their respective tires, both Super League giants are in real problems, who want to destroy 2-0 against Manchester City and Real Madrid respectively.
With four of the eight parties that were former champions, the caliber of teams could not get much better, and with a place in the semi -final for grabbing, the bet is high.
In anticipation of the quarter-final collisions in the second legs, we are here to give you the low-down on every tie, by walking the most important data and seeing how the Opta-Supercomputer predicts that it will all play.
All on the second pipes #uwcl pic.twitter.com/S8BXPKB3SX
– UEFA Women's Champions League (@UWCL) March 24, 2025
Lyon vs Bayern Munich
Continental heavyweights Lyon enter this home collision with a 2-0 advantage compared to the German champions of the first stage.
They will feel confident to move forward, because they continued in 13 of their 15 earlier quarter -final performances (no other club has reached the semis more than eight times).
Lyon has won three of their four UWCL matches against Bayern (L1), including their only earlier match for home floor-a 2-1 victory in November 2021.
After losing their last two UWCL matches against Arsenal and Lyon, Bayern will want to prevent him from losing three races in the competition for the first time.
They will have to overcome all the chances of winning them, because the Opta-Supercomputer only gives the German side a chance of 17.6% to win the night, while eight times champions Lyon are favorites with a chance of winning of 62.6%, and it is 19.8% for the draw.
Tabitha Chawinga and Melchie Dumornay were the suppliers of Lyon's goals in the first stage and Dumornay could again prove a problem for Bayern in the second stage.
Only Ewa Pajor van Barcelona (17) has managed more shots on target this season than Dumornay in the competition (14), while only four players in the competition have created more opportunities than her 17.
Arsenal vs Real Madrid
The Onder-PAR play surface, dedicated by wet and windy Madrid conditions, dominated the headlines after last week's first stage.
But that will now be of little comfort for Arsenal, who has left himself with a mountain to climb into the return bone.
With a 2-0 in a row, the Gunners want to go further from a UWCL-Knock-out draw after they had lost the first leg for the second time, after their quarter-finals run-through turnaround of 2022-23 against Bayern, with the Gunners trembling three times on seven such occasions in general.
Madrid wants to reach the semi -final for the first time. Las Blancas also strives to make the three road victories in a row in the competition, like many victories when they enjoyed their 11 games on the road (L8).
With the tie fine in balance, the Gunners will welcome the Spanish side of the Emirates Stadium and the Opta Supercomputer depicts the hosts to win in the night.
There is a chance of victory of 66.9% for Arsenal, in which Madrid win 15% of our pre-match simulations and 18.1% are drawn-one of these latter results would be more than good enough for the visitors.
In the first stage, Arsenal collected a total of 13 shots (via nine different players) on the five of Madrid but still lost due to two goals.
Those 13 efforts are the second most of a team to draw a blank in a knockout internship match in the last two editions, after Lyon in the final of last season against Barcelona (14 shots, no goals).
And after winning a first Clasico against fierce Rivals Barcelona, it was an incredible week for Madrid. If they could record that in this draw, it would show a stunning progress of the Alberto Toril team.
1 -Real Madrid -Women booked their first victory over Barcelona in all competitions (G19 D0 L18) and became the first ladies team to win a road match against the Azulgrana with more than 2 goals since Rayo Vallecano in September 2012 (2-0). New. pic.twitter.com/7xhmdaic8p
– Optajose (@Optajose) March 23, 2025
Madrid Duo Super Bruun (five goals, three assists) and Linda Caicedo (four goals, four assists) are the top two players for target involvement in the competition this season, where the last five target contributions yields in its last four games in the competition.
Barcelona vs Wolfsburg
The reigning champions are firmly on the steering accumulation after a 4-1 victory in the first legs and still look like the team to beat in this competition, because they strive to win a third consecutive title, a performance that only Lyon has previously managed (five in a row from 2015-16 to 2019-2020).
Barca wants to write more UWCL history by reaching the semi -final for a seventh consecutive season -even the Great Lyon teams have only passed six in a row at their best.
However, the Blaugrana are not unbeatable and their very first defeat in El Clasico on Sunday, when they went to Madrid at home at home, Wolfsburg Hope can offer.
Barca lost their first home game against the German opposition in the Champions League and went 2-0 to Wolfsburg in March 2014, but since then they have won each of their last five with a combined Scoreline of 15-1-in this time four different opponents (Bayern Twice, Hoffensheim, Eintrachtheim).
Sveindis Jonsdottir van Wolfsburg has the best expected goals (XG) over performance in the Champions League with +2.67, so that four goals of an XG of only 1.33 were taken into account.
Wolfsburg has lost two of their last three road races in the UWCL (W1), just as many defeats as they suffered on the road in their previous 15 in the competition (W9 D3).
Ballon d'Or Winner Aitana Bossi has created 24 chances in the competition this season, most of each player, while no player has offered this period more assists than her four, with the 27-year-old Barca's third goal in the first stage of this draw.
The OPTA Supercomputer is no doubt about the result of this, which gives Barcelona the highest chance of winning of every team involved in this week's matches.
They win in the night in 73.1% of our pre-match simulations, while the draw is a chance of 15.6% and Wolfsburg only triumph in 11.3%.
Although there can be drama about the other tires, our predictive model clearly thinks that the progress of Barca will be serene.
Chelsea vs Manchester City
With these two games that meet four times in 12 days in three games and twice in the UWCL, an incredible Saga is concluded with Stamford Bridge with Chelsea hoping to destroy a 2-0 shortage on the first stage.
Sunday's WSL collision between the teams saw Chelsea fighting back from a goal to achieve a 2-1 victory in the Etihad Stadium, in which Cuthbert came from the bank to score a last-gas winner.
The blues are therefore 2-1 in these mini-series competitions, after they have also won the League Cup final against City to open the Stint a week earlier.
But when it comes to the condition of the Champions League -specifically specific, City has impressively put itself in the chair.
This is only the second time that the two parties have met in this competition, after the 2-0 victory of the citizens in the first stage last week. The blues had each won of their four games in the competition against colleague -British parties prior to that defeat.
Chelsea is eliminated from five of their six knock-out stage tires in the Champions League when losing the first stage, with the exception against Bayern in the semi-final of 2020-21 (lost 2-1 in the first stage, won 4-1 in the second stage at home).
City, on the other hand, has been advanced from all nine of their Champions League Knock -Out tires when winning the first stage.
In the competition in general, the last team that was eliminated from a two-legged draw was after winning the first stage with several goals Biik Kazygurt Women, against Barcelona in the Tour of 2018-19 of 32.
The UWCL trophy has proved elusive for Chelsea, and they may feel that it is simply not meant to be in this competition after their defeat on the first leg.
But they have to stick to the fact that they have won five of their last six home games against City against all competitions (L1), although they were beaten 2-0 in the semi-final of 2018-19 League Cup on the last opportunity that they organized the citizens outside WSL Play.
Their Achilles' heel last week was none other than WSL of all time leading goal scorer Vivianne Miedema. She scored 12 goals in her eight performances in the Champions League knockout phases since the start of the 2019-2020 campaign.
In that period, the Dutch woman has the best minutes per goal in the knockout phase of the competition, between players to take more than five times (52 minutes).
Linking Miedema #uwcl || @Viviannemiedema pic.twitter.com/rkkimprzxm
– UEFA Women's Champions League (@UWCL) March 22, 2025
Because Chelsea is still haunting a quadruple and is generally in strong form, they can certainly not be written off. In this run, however, City has proven in the three meetings that they can compete with the blues.
The OPTA Supercomputer is very convinced that Chelsea wins at night, with their chance of winning of 60.5%. However, they need a victory with at least two goals to make every chance of progress.
City, despite their good form and profit in the last stage, only has an 18.8% chance of winning in the night and a 20.7% chance of securing a draw, which would be more than enough to secure a famous triumph in this crucial draw.
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